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Market turmoil
Credit markets brace for Trump tariffs fallout
Traders have largely shrugged off the threat of global trade wars, but worries remain about economic weakness
Hedge funds flock to hybrids to trade macro uncertainty
Firms repurpose structure made popular by Trump trades last year
EU debt wave raises dealer capacity concerns
Ongoing QT and upcoming defence spending piles pressure on bank balance sheet supply, say dealers
Shifting credit markets could push SRT pricing wider
Rising volatility may force issuers to adjust pricing in line with broader credit spread trends
Risk Quantum
Data insights, delivered daily
Risk Quantum tracks thousands of data points across hundreds of metrics from organisations that represent a cross-section of the financial system. Published daily, articles are short and broken into chunks – the facts, the context and a brief commentary – and use data visualisations to get each story across.
Liquidity risk spikes at CME and OCC
CCPs revised estimated worst-case payment obligation to highest levels on record in Q4
Counterparty Radar
Matchmaking and benchmarking for OTC derivatives
Counterparty Radar is based on position data from around 20,000 US mutual funds and ETFs, rolled up to the manager level – it shows the OTC derivatives they have on their books, and who they traded them with, providing unique insights into an important market segment. More info
BlackRock bucks trend in shrinking IRS market for Ucits
Counterparty Radar: Pimco boosts pay-fixed book by $27.5 billion in H1 2024
Bank regulation
Can Europe’s FRTB refurb bring banks back to Club IMA?
Softening the NMRF regime permanently might have the most impact, but the output floor still hurts
UBS takes standardised approach for FRTB – for now
Swiss bank is one of the largest to drop internal models; sources say it could switch later
CCAR methodology may give first glimpse of Fed’s transparency drive
Industry calls for more details on Global Market Shock and new private equity treatment
Gould stands by OCC decision to end exams for reputation risk
Comptroller nominee also blames SVB failure on poor supervision, not tailoring rule
Clearing
No need for repo clearing ‘cannon’ in Europe, says industry
Observers question rationale for a clearing mandate, calling for clearer incentives
NSCC liquidity shortfalls raise T+1 concerns
Lagging FX settlement processes could become a problem for clearing houses
Basis traders mull UST self-clearing as response to SEC mandate
Inter-affiliate exemption requested by hedge funds could ease shortage of clearing capacity
CCP models vulnerable to Trump risk
Volatility of ‘will he, won’t he’ tariff strategy could confound clearing house risk models
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